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Mean Field Games I: Estimation Theory for LQG Major-Minor Agent Systems
【2014.10.28 10:30am, N202】

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 2014-10-13 

  Colloquia & Seminars 

  Speaker

Prof. Peter E. Caines, McGill University

  Title

Mean Field Games I: Estimation  Theory  for  LQG Major-Minor Agent Systems

  Time

2014.10.28 10:30-11:30

  Venue

N202

  Abstract

The complexity of large population multi-agent competitive and cooperative stochastic dynamic systems such as occur in as communication, environmental, and alternative energy systems make centralized control infeasible and classical game theoretic solutions intractable.  To confront these problems, and inspired by statistical mechanics, \epsilon-Nash Mean Field  stochastic control (aka Nash Certainty Equivalence (NCE) control) was developed in the work of M.Y. Huang,  R.Malhame’ and the speaker (2003, 2006, 2007) and independently in that of  J. M. Lasry and P.L. Lions (2006, 2007) .

The central idea is that in large population stochastic dynamic games individual agent feedback strategies exist  which collectively  yield a Nash equilibrium with respect to the counter-intuitively pre-computable behaviour of the mass of the other agents.                                                              

The  Mean Field Game (MFG) equations consist of a family of  (i) Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations which give  the Nash value of the game and the best response strategy for each agent, together with (ii) a corresponding family of McKean-Vlasov  (MV) Fokker-Planck–Kolomogorov (FPK)  equations which generate the probability distribution of the states of  the population  (i.e. the mean field).

A distinctive feature of  the mixed agent  system MFG theory (introduced by M. Huang in the LQG case (2010) ), where there are Major  (non-asymptotically negligible) and Minor agents, is that the  presence of the major agent causes the system’s mean field to become stochastic. Consequently, when Minor agents have only partial (i.e. noisy) observations on the Major agent,  Minor agents must recursively estimate both the Major agent’s state and the system’s mean field. Results for this situation in the LQG case will be presented in this talk.

Work with Arman Kizilkale

  Affiliation

Peter E. Caines received the BA in mathematics from Oxford University in 1967 and the PhD in systems and control theory in 1970 from Imperial College, University of London. In 1980 he joined McGill University where he is James McGill Professor and Macdonald Chair in the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering. He is a Life Fellow of the IEEE, Fellow of SIAM and IMA and is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada. In 2009 he received the IEEE Control Systems Society Bode Lecture Prize and in 2013 a Queen Elizabeth II Diamond Jubilee Medal. He is the author of Linear Stochastic Systems, John Wiley, 1988.

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